Vision
Prediction markets went mainstream. Meme coins are the most-traded, fastest-moving assets on Solana. Predixt sits exactly at that intersection: the assets people actually care about, with markets anyone can create in seconds.
The thesis is simple. If a token has an on-chain price, it deserves a market. So we made markets permissionless, pricing trustless, and payouts instant. The result is a venue where narratives get priced in real time and being right pays out on-chain.
Why Predixt
Any token, instantly
Paste an address and a market is live. No listings, no committee, no waiting.
Real odds, real money
Pool-based pricing. No fake liquidity, no market-maker games, no spread to fight.
Win and get paid
Instant on-chain claims. Settled by oracles, not admins. Your keys, your funds.
Be the house
Launch markets and earn a fee on every settlement. A creator economy for speculation.
How a market works (parimutuel)
Every YES bet goes into one pool, every NO bet into another. No order book, no market maker. The live odds are simply the ratio between the two pools: if YES holds 70% of the total, YES is trading at 70%.
When the market resolves, the winning side splits the entire pool pro-rata, with the fee taken only from the losing side. Your payout is your stake back plus your share of the losing pool. Because fees come from the losers, a winner never loses principal.
Creating a market
- Paste a token address. Symbol, name, logo and live market cap are pulled from on-chain data automatically.
- Set the target market cap and a deadline.
- Pick your creator fee and seed the market with starting liquidity.
Seeding makes the opening odds meaningful and keeps spam out: the creator is an ordinary bettor with skin in the game, and they earn on every bet that follows.
Betting & live odds
Pick a side and an amount. The projected payout uses the post-bet pools, so the line you see is the line you are paid from. Odds move in real time as money flows in. The token’s live market cap is shown the whole way, so you are always trading the real number, not a stale snapshot.
Oracle settlement
At the deadline, settlement is permissionless. The program reads the bound price oracle (a Pyth pull feed or Switchboard On-Demand) and compares the live market cap to the target. Target reached, YES wins. Not reached, NO wins. No admin is ever in the loop, and anyone can trigger the crank.
Fees & the creator economy
Two fees, both taken only from the losing pool:
- Creator fee — set by whoever opened the market. Make markets people want to trade and earn on the flow.
- Protocol fee — a small cut that funds the protocol and, over time, rewards holders.
One-sided markets and refunds take no fees at all. Winners always keep their principal.
Claiming payouts
After settlement, winners and the creator claim from the vault. Claims are idempotent (once per position) and the vault is a program-owned account, so funds can only ever move through claim and fee instructions.
Refunds & edge cases
- No valid oracle price after a grace window: the market refunds and everyone reclaims their stake.
- No winners on the resolved side: the market refunds.
- One-sided market: bettors simply get their stake back, no fees.
Non-custodial by design
Funds sit in a per-market program-owned vault with no admin withdrawal path. Settlement is permissionless so no one can hold a market hostage. Accounting is integer math that always rounds in the pool’s favour, so the vault can never be over-drawn. Your funds are yours until a market resolves and you claim.
Roadmap
Core protocol
Permissionless markets, parimutuel pools, oracle settlement, creator fees.
$PRDX token
Protocol token with fee sharing and staking for market creators and holders.
Leaderboards & PnL
On-chain track records, top creators, and shareable positions.
Any-token coverage
Switchboard On-Demand pricing from any DEX pool, so long-tail tokens get markets too.
Mobile + social
One-tap markets, push alerts on settlement, and one-click sharing of a thesis.